China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.What is the significance of fiscal and monetary policy adjustment? Expert: The path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy has been clarified. The Central Economic Work Conference, which closed yesterday, pointed out that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. What kind of signals are released behind these policies? In terms of fiscal policy, the Central Economic Work Conference requested that a more active fiscal policy should be implemented next year, so as to improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance of special bonds for local governments, optimize the structure of fiscal expenditure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. Experts said that these requirements clarified the path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy. Focusing on vigorously boosting consumption, the Central Economic Work Conference requires that special actions to boost consumption should be implemented next year, the basic pension for retirees should be appropriately raised, and the "two new" policies (large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods) should be implemented. (CCTV News)Shanghai ranks third in the world! The Global Financial Technology Center Development Index (2024) was released. It was learned from the 6th Shanghai International Forum on Financial Technology that the Shanghai Financial Technology Industry Alliance released the "Global Financial Technology Center Development Index (2024)", which was released for the second consecutive year. The results of this index show that new york, London, Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, Tokyo, Chicago, Hong Kong, Singapore and San Francisco rank among the top ten in the world. The index is mainly composed of indicators such as the development level, development potential and development environment of financial technology, which intuitively reflects the development of financial technology in different cities around the world in quantitative form. Compared with the previous index, the list of the top ten cities remains unchanged, but the gap between the index scores of cities has further narrowed, showing the increasingly fierce competition in the development of financial technology in major cities around the world. (CBN)
Hongxin Electronics: Promote the technical research and development and product supply of folding mobile phone reels with Xiaomi. Hongxin Electronics officially announced today that recently, the 2024 Xiaomi Global Core Supplier Conference was held in Beijing Yanqi Lake International Convention & Exhibition Center. Under the background that Xiaomi's strategy of "people, cars and homes are all ecological" continues to deepen, Hongxin Electronics will closely follow Xiaomi's footsteps, actively expand emerging fields such as home appliances and automobiles, and provide all-round support and services in flexible electronics for Xiaomi's intelligent hardware all-ecological products. At present, in the face of the booming folding mobile phone market, Hongxin Electronics and Xiaomi jointly promote the technology research and development and product supply of folding mobile phone reels. According to reports, in the era of vigorous development of artificial intelligence and digital economy, at present, Hongxin Electronics has deeply laid out frontier fields such as AI mobile phones, AIPC, smart cars, smart homes, smart wearable devices, robots, industrial control, medical care and meta-universe.The General Administration of Market Supervision launched a pilot program to deepen credit repair. The gold T+D of Shanghai Gold Exchange fell by 1.01% to 617.82 yuan/gram at the beginning of trading on Friday, December 13th. Silver T+D of Shanghai Gold Exchange fell 1.27% to 7722.0 yuan/kg at the beginning of trading on Friday, December 13th.Shanghai ranks third in the world! The Global Financial Technology Center Development Index (2024) was released. It was learned from the 6th Shanghai International Forum on Financial Technology that the Shanghai Financial Technology Industry Alliance released the "Global Financial Technology Center Development Index (2024)", which was released for the second consecutive year. The results of this index show that new york, London, Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, Tokyo, Chicago, Hong Kong, Singapore and San Francisco rank among the top ten in the world. The index is mainly composed of indicators such as the development level, development potential and development environment of financial technology, which intuitively reflects the development of financial technology in different cities around the world in quantitative form. Compared with the previous index, the list of the top ten cities remains unchanged, but the gap between the index scores of cities has further narrowed, showing the increasingly fierce competition in the development of financial technology in major cities around the world. (CBN)
Shanghai ranks third in the world! The Global Financial Technology Center Development Index (2024) was released. It was learned from the 6th Shanghai International Forum on Financial Technology that the Shanghai Financial Technology Industry Alliance released the "Global Financial Technology Center Development Index (2024)", which was released for the second consecutive year. The results of this index show that new york, London, Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, Tokyo, Chicago, Hong Kong, Singapore and San Francisco rank among the top ten in the world. The index is mainly composed of indicators such as the development level, development potential and development environment of financial technology, which intuitively reflects the development of financial technology in different cities around the world in quantitative form. Compared with the previous index, the list of the top ten cities remains unchanged, but the gap between the index scores of cities has further narrowed, showing the increasingly fierce competition in the development of financial technology in major cities around the world. (CBN)From January to October, the total output of lithium batteries in China increased by 16% year-on-year. According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China's lithium-ion battery industry continued to grow from January to October 2024. According to the announcement of lithium battery industry norms, enterprise information and industry associations, the total output of lithium batteries in China from January to October was 890GWh, up 16% year-on-year. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the profit of China's lithium battery manufacturing industry increased by 39.4% from January to October. In the battery sector, the output of energy storage lithium batteries exceeded 200GWh from January to October. The loading capacity of power lithium batteries for new energy vehicles is about 405GWh. From January to October, the total export of lithium batteries in China reached 350.2 billion yuan, down 9.2% year-on-year, and the decline was 3.3 percentage points narrower than that in January-June.Vegetable oil fell by 1.90% on the 13th, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract vegetable oil closed at 2,505, up or down by -1.90%, with a turnover of 535,800 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 21,545 lots. The total turnover of vegetable oil futures contracts was 593,700 lots, a decrease of 112,100 lots from the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 232,900 lots, a decrease of 3,819 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 254,200 lots, an increase of 687 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14